Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T17:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 17:20 UTC
Open price
$1,676.74
Close price
$1,675.04

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1676.740000 and closed at 1675.040000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 13 · 16:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 17:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 17:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↑ 17:00 ↓ — now 17:15 ↑ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 17:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T17:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 17:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
16:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9Pcm2qVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 16:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.86%
Down 51.14%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000124 sigma=0.001348 score=-0.4001 p_up=0.4886

Commitment hash
dd9f3573081e79fda1cf652dcc3df6acbfdc977d410dcb811e2c7cfe0a920421
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
16:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.492 +0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHmvRDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 16:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.6%
Down 50.4%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4001 edge=-0.0114 sigma_short=0.001640 sigma_long=0.001171 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4960

Commitment hash
242d83bd9501989f5ecec93483e5446dd24af4e55f025f63ae134d5dc75df02f
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
16:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4ieAgDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 16:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.85%
Down 47.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.8575 sigma=2.4515 z=-1.8183 p_up=0.5285

Commitment hash
f63c7e9716305e7b28a0866e4182c3071a89ac41f65c1ca215cf00e6c6b93223