Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T18:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 18:20 UTC
Open price
$1,674.31
Close price
$1,676.77

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.310000 and closed at 1676.770000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 13 · 17:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 18:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 18:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 17:15 ↑ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ — now 18:15 ↑ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↓ 19:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 18:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T18:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 18:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
17:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgs9QPVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.15%
Down 48.85%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.6645 sigma=2.5970 z=-0.4022 p_up=0.5115

Commitment hash
24cda64b151824411f865523c3870d5bbc45a313e874931cbf8da5846840e0a1
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
17:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.506 -0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNlPwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.71%
Down 50.29%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2845 edge=-0.0083 sigma_short=0.001776 sigma_long=0.001145 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4971

Commitment hash
15fcb25ae042e032a072ed99185d775f8292c87e221d6f523b4fc4e045211712
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
17:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.517 -1.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01gimQzw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.17%
Down 50.83%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000091 sigma=0.001398 score=-0.2845 p_up=0.4917

Commitment hash
857849f9f095a9919c7ba7346d876eaac55d80d9b8e98141fce6f6ab5352cabb