Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T22:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 22:35 UTC
Open price
$1,683.50
Close price
$1,684.83

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1683.500000 and closed at 1684.830000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 22:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 22:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 22:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 21:30 ↑ 21:45 ↓ 22:00 ↓ 22:15 ↑ — now 22:30 ↓ 22:45 ↓ 23:00 ↓ 23:15 ↓ 23:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 22:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T22:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 22:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.460 +4.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFEzAw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.03%
Down 47.97%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000357 sigma=0.001892 score=0.8224 p_up=0.5203

Commitment hash
1e51bf96314424af3b16c4d1a1696dec8b8c9cb80c23252b820ef76877655234
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
22:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.486 +1.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgs9MgVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.71%
Down 49.29%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8224 edge=0.0203 sigma_short=0.002203 sigma_long=0.001640 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5071

Commitment hash
7009eb817a39e20dd61f71617e463fed57fff73afe16549fb1e6095346d453d0
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.561 -6.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01gimvaw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.05%
Down 52.95%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.3210 sigma=3.4249 z=2.3706 p_up=0.4705

Commitment hash
ac77f0d6ee5f7acd76666339dc512c861464085a507fbc3ab1f6cb4cf361aefc