Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T23:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 23:20 UTC
Open price
$1,681.62
Close price
$1,681.61

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1681.620000 and closed at 1681.610000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 13 · 22:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 23:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 23:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 22:15 ↑ 22:30 ↓ 22:45 ↓ 23:00 ↓ — now 23:15 ↓ 23:30 ↓ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↓ 00:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 23:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T23:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 23:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.455 +4.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkRQoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.72%
Down 52.28%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1679.3850 sigma=3.8286 z=0.9965 p_up=0.4772

Commitment hash
210f53fc5a946587cc11c1bfb1db2c00f0f62132123e3d325b6c27bad55f9a78
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
22:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.512 -1.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1kXV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.6%
Down 49.4%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.6452 edge=0.0171 sigma_short=0.002271 sigma_long=0.001670 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5060

Commitment hash
65c72c0371a231a0f6b76157c45fab70f092ad5574978818e0b2ab96f6fea2f9
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.535 -3.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HkqYD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.71%
Down 48.29%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000279 sigma=0.001883 score=0.6452 p_up=0.5171

Commitment hash
148e23678e65a7c8f37a239dee3d1da5d8cd645978b37b1073722c336bdc921f