Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T02:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 02:50 UTC
Open price
$1,683.06
Close price
$1,682.10

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1683.060000 and closed at 1682.100000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 14 · 02:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 02:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↓ — now 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↑ 03:30 ↓ 03:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T02:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 02:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
02:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHgdmD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.85%
Down 52.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1682.8105 sigma=2.7549 z=0.9000 p_up=0.4785

Commitment hash
3188d011f50ac0b149904348282300b76934aff14bdc39a0fef5c95306ecb4a4
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
02:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.529 -2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4TrBYo7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.41%
Down 48.59%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.6738 edge=0.0176 sigma_short=0.000977 sigma_long=0.001516 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5141

Commitment hash
ab5d47338e9e61c681544f5dd9e68735b9cc5758433dcd479e099fbd953bd17c
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
02:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.536 -3.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysynQw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.76%
Down 48.24%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000278 sigma=0.001801 score=0.6738 p_up=0.5176

Commitment hash
3239ef3be3cbf41146658d1f657af988be764ef2c5dba30fe6ff6bec55d8f34e