Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T08:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 09:05 UTC
Open price
$1,677.29
Close price
$1,675.58

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1677.290000 and closed at 1675.580000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 14 · 08:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 08:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓ — now 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↑ 10:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T08:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 09:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.486 +1.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHg30D3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.28%
Down 50.72%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000066 sigma=0.001160 score=-0.2462 p_up=0.4928

Commitment hash
e82aba2378a945cccde2e3ca045f80a094eef03a9c1141ddbe588ac9c787892f
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
08:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.492 +0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZaAVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.6%
Down 50.4%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2462 edge=-0.0072 sigma_short=0.001287 sigma_long=0.001038 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4960

Commitment hash
d97d6d2db40a0071dfed9faabdd47d893e9aa46c8a38228e50bd6e0abb7e4e47
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.499 +0.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4TrXyo7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.94%
Down 50.06%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1677.9235 sigma=2.1735 z=0.0214 p_up=0.4994

Commitment hash
3f76a28a51bb7394d41a626b938582f74d3d3824ccf073ee609f109675d7ad08