Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T08:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 08:20 UTC
Open price
$1,675.91
Close price
$1,676.42

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1675.910000 and closed at 1676.420000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 14 · 07:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 08:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ — now 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T08:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 08:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.445 +5.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cAdzDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.85%
Down 47.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.7755 sigma=2.5998 z=-1.8330 p_up=0.5285

Commitment hash
b9d21a713a07ccc328b391fdef8f17838b5eacede61997fc833f00ce4edd05a9
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
07:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.516 -1.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SnEvolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.19%
Down 50.81%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.0145 edge=-0.0230 sigma_short=0.001327 sigma_long=0.001047 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4919

Commitment hash
14eaf5e61d2201196b72749a98a35996003ef5248624b7175ad97000ac713b2b
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.547 -4.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH8RrVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.7%
Down 52.3%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000265 sigma=0.001140 score=-1.0145 p_up=0.4770

Commitment hash
5ccea04e14617f06dff19f6d4bf2613320989c95c3b2824b67cdbfd061ccf201