Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T07:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 08:05 UTC
Open price
$1,674.01
Close price
$1,675.91

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.010000 and closed at 1675.910000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 07:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 07:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ — now 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T07:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 08:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.456 +4.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9zQVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.23%
Down 47.77%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1679.1800 sigma=2.4520 z=-0.9543 p_up=0.5223

Commitment hash
29f497c95098d5ae15ac4478fc61a13c2a9668eb6cf82e7a186ea7a1c079f411
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
07:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.519 -1.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXxAor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.05%
Down 50.95%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.6572 edge=-0.0173 sigma_short=0.001235 sigma_long=0.001486 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4905

Commitment hash
d3dafe914a97eb494cdbff72e2fcf928f946f6d8e807ee5374a2df9dcb23116b
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.535 -3.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZ7AVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.27%
Down 51.73%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000165 sigma=0.001093 score=-0.6572 p_up=0.4827

Commitment hash
73c819e6080e4e9bd8748c99d54537c815d09b2da5790584956e36fab9f6ae88