Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T07:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 07:50 UTC
Open price
$1,676.84
Close price
$1,674.01

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1676.840000 and closed at 1674.010000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 14 · 07:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 07:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 07:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:45 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ — now 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 07:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T07:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 07:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.453 +4.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS50zwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.59%
Down 52.41%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000264 sigma=0.001039 score=-1.1070 p_up=0.4759

Commitment hash
d698d8006bdb4896d0f4688f36cfb85104f886bfb7fe09a666edf054b4f1c9b4
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
07:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.474 +2.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHg90D3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.68%
Down 51.32%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.1070 edge=-0.0241 sigma_short=0.001161 sigma_long=0.001475 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4868

Commitment hash
faee9ba987d1e4342a67b48bbd5fca1a80dc8cd339ba2a9660f6261e92a2b24c
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysyQlw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.87%
Down 47.13%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1679.4915 sigma=2.5295 z=-1.9140 p_up=0.5287

Commitment hash
d33cb34925d0be0b895fef09ec2877735c6ff1a71fd83121c1af041e48951132