Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T07:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 07:35 UTC
Open price
$1,674.66
Close price
$1,676.84

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.660000 and closed at 1676.840000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 14 · 07:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 07:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ — now 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T07:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 07:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtl1WoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.66%
Down 47.34%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1680.0235 sigma=2.5738 z=-1.4117 p_up=0.5266

Commitment hash
502d9b0e016a52912066a74bad99061aa8b4bf2dc5c26d8628da1ea5e1bb70fd
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
07:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_40Q536YODN09HqdMwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.65%
Down 51.35%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.1546 edge=-0.0246 sigma_short=0.001261 sigma_long=0.001470 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4865

Commitment hash
a799a62fcdd9c0d9b0a57840a47ce5e86aeb08cffc9d66161fe11ebe4e91b06a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaRzwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.54%
Down 52.46%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000279 sigma=0.001052 score=-1.1546 p_up=0.4754

Commitment hash
aed59488d5fe8072f16ca9f1d0aa7a4018f48490e5fd488f5d40384d445d4dc1