Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T20:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 20:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 20:35 UTC
Open price
$1,663.30
Close price
$1,667.17

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1663.300000 and closed at 1667.170000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 20:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 20:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 20:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 19:30 ↓ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↑ — now 20:30 ↑ 20:45 ↓ 21:00 ↑ 21:15 ↑ 21:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 20:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T20:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 20:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
20:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2WguLLBVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 20:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 20:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.84%
Down 49.16%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000080 sigma=0.001208 score=0.2888 p_up=0.5084

Commitment hash
7032eee26986c34071f9d3ce5358f4fbf41c0881a12b6249556e1ffebe935054
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
20:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCXX3w3qMl598
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 20:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 20:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.67%
Down 49.33%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2888 edge=0.0084 sigma_short=0.000940 sigma_long=0.001448 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5067

Commitment hash
6d01f00865158718b69abbdd455b0a9a9295c16ea0e0590cfa6c22189691ca6a
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
20:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFPPPor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 20:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 20:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.01%
Down 51.99%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1663.8190 sigma=2.0097 z=0.8016 p_up=0.4801

Commitment hash
c6a87e5c03115372e92d7369894cd3c3dcfdd81db7ed02d30f3433a2c08f3d30