Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T00:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 00:35 UTC
Open price
$1,731.51
Close price
$1,725.64

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1731.510000 and closed at 1725.640000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 15 · 00:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 00:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 23:30 ↓ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ — now 00:30 ↓ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T00:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 00:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.453 +4.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5nNVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.6%
Down 52.4%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1696.3845 sigma=26.6467 z=1.0972 p_up=0.4760

Commitment hash
ca660c2c7ee46e703ee6cf62f5d7e765c45a11316c5badf6cab3c558d2d97df7
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
00:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyQ9DZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.58%
Down 48.42%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.9022 edge=0.0287 sigma_short=0.003088 sigma_long=0.003362 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5158

Commitment hash
85a73fb7f3bc3b7aaba8699f28e29acf4bcd923e0906bacc0310ed1d0d9e1345
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tEpJDWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.87%
Down 47.13%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001876 sigma=0.004299 score=1.9022 p_up=0.5287

Commitment hash
58fba8b8e849454dbe5bdfa10a2ffe58617e3017e287bba313a917e190c840c1