Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T00:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$1,721.00
Close price
$1,720.83

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1721.000000 and closed at 1720.830000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 15 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 00:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↓ 00:45 ↓ — now 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T00:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 01:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.459 +4.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_g7xznkbOwq29c3BaVmELRlWQ
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.88%
Down 52.12%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1702.6655 sigma=26.1016 z=0.8802 p_up=0.4788

Commitment hash
50218226b6e4d87f4b9c60f23bcde7c88882a1220165aaaad18d79da11b94bab
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
00:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.547 -4.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_0MeQn9qmwgznCmWgoYl4kr65
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.28%
Down 47.72%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.8245 edge=0.0285 sigma_short=0.002325 sigma_long=0.003439 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5228

Commitment hash
b67943fd6bb33d8192cae68831dc55b99142e06fe6813f2cdb0cb1954def7eb3
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETdnAw4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.85%
Down 47.15%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001859 sigma=0.004442 score=1.8245 p_up=0.5285

Commitment hash
de916028fc6b598ed25a4c71b76944a7ab9e3ec3435dfcef51a046326053b3e5