Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T02:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 02:20 UTC
Open price
$1,715.80
Close price
$1,720.67

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1715.800000 and closed at 1720.670000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 15 · 01:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 02:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 02:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑ — now 02:15 ↑ 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↓ 03:00 ↑ 03:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 02:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T02:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 02:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
01:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLi2Bywy92enrk
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.69%
Down 47.31%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001593 sigma=0.004782 score=1.4517 p_up=0.5269

Commitment hash
fb0a63f562cbae0e3fa2db775e873e151aee9573d0c4c961ee0a2a3346d8b260
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
01:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_40Q536YODN09HYpewRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.48%
Down 48.52%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.4517 edge=0.0269 sigma_short=0.003130 sigma_long=0.003516 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5148

Commitment hash
f6dce26dc58aa4228f8810461e509b6f483dd552b1a4a4dc8b4b9e0eb3a1089e
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
01:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.522 -2.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtXWgoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.9%
Down 51.1%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1715.6595 sigma=15.9064 z=0.3860 p_up=0.4890

Commitment hash
6429c92a461eb7edb248ebfb136dc147de27e08aba615240512c4c34d03e1713