Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T07:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 08:05 UTC
Open price
$1,718.48
Close price
$1,716.59

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1718.480000 and closed at 1716.590000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 15 · 07:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 07:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↓ — now 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↓ 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T07:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 08:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
07:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.454 +4.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5C1yLDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.64%
Down 52.36%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.9455 sigma=1.9581 z=1.0646 p_up=0.4764

Commitment hash
295b67058827d338252cb666e39fa2f40a8256ab82d81afff5cb44a55e4bfce3
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
07:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.510 -1.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvh70AojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.49%
Down 49.51%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2086 edge=0.0062 sigma_short=0.001296 sigma_long=0.002513 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5049

Commitment hash
7994d06e0917619545180095a4e96ccfc149a602d318057d6deaa84ddc2bb337
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
07:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.512 -1.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCXOqw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.62%
Down 49.38%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000069 sigma=0.001451 score=0.2086 p_up=0.5062

Commitment hash
28b062eec8bc8d1fe3cc3d6fe4825bfda5712c5bc05f98612307924da1ed5996