Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T07:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 07:20 UTC
Open price
$1,719.82
Close price
$1,720.90

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1719.820000 and closed at 1720.900000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 15 · 06:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 07:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ — now 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↓ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T07:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 07:20:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GC6OywW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.84%
Down 49.16%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000104 sigma=0.001580 score=0.2882 p_up=0.5084

Commitment hash
5722965629a84bbd91ffec8063822dc5ff492c2a5177f46fd57584a473c25dd5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
06:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtXZmoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.67%
Down 49.33%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2882 edge=0.0084 sigma_short=0.001324 sigma_long=0.003617 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5067

Commitment hash
3b96143b66d90ac4e70d94aa6e62e1e3304f55aa6f35ef3090f9261cadf2de40
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLi28xwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.67%
Down 49.33%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.6760 sigma=2.1055 z=-0.2261 p_up=0.5067

Commitment hash
61ad4a2e1cc918d179e0972f6143952e54af2fc6111d496431f7f925b569f592