Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T06:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 06:35 UTC
Open price
$1,721.44
Close price
$1,722.48

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1721.440000 and closed at 1722.480000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 15 · 06:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 06:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 06:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:30 ↓ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↑ — now 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 06:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T06:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 06:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.490 +1.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTQBZwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.52%
Down 49.48%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000092 sigma=0.002308 score=0.1740 p_up=0.5052

Commitment hash
0bc3b102a8d4a8649d6aff758e125a4888ca36839d0c712c332fdcfe8024ba30
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
06:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.492 +0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iE51oE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.41%
Down 49.59%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1740 edge=0.0052 sigma_short=0.001330 sigma_long=0.003626 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5041

Commitment hash
f3ecfb236ab0d4352f00ed1c2b1c2d532c738cd408ff259c91c9033197bf1c1b
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gC2b8oBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.4%
Down 51.6%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.0825 sigma=2.6576 z=0.5936 p_up=0.4840

Commitment hash
fe62c012b0a5a4c2037f1990e17f4652346f9a8942dd262dbd56d59a708f71bb