Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T06:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 06:20 UTC
Open price
$1,720.67
Close price
$1,721.43

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1720.670000 and closed at 1721.430000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 15 · 05:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 06:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 06:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:15 ↑ 05:30 ↓ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↑ — now 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 06:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T06:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 06:20:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.465 +3.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFbXkw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.77%
Down 48.23%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.0910 sigma=2.6629 z=-0.6801 p_up=0.5177

Commitment hash
84e41963c01c305fb2d5dfe4b3179e2afd40d2b1ba543efa1abd2c4d4022c872
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
05:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.510 -1.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_j2yMmAnQo01girELw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.51%
Down 50.49%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2058 edge=-0.0061 sigma_short=0.001180 sigma_long=0.003625 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4951

Commitment hash
8ced16300037f18a492c237adc63725465d510ad6bcba183c5ef0807e2dd5602
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.512 -1.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgCmLGV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.39%
Down 50.61%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000109 sigma=0.002302 score=-0.2058 p_up=0.4939

Commitment hash
f1babe5929f18fa2410c2e63d68ea5a5b9c3363a74d5f784041433d552af8440