Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T05:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 05:35 UTC
Open price
$1,717.90
Close price
$1,721.09

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1717.900000 and closed at 1721.090000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 15 · 05:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 05:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 04:30 ↓ 04:45 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 05:15 ↑ — now 05:30 ↓ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T05:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 05:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.461 +3.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tEO5DWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.99%
Down 48.01%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1720.1845 sigma=3.9366 z=-0.7988 p_up=0.5199

Commitment hash
2ba553911b591a927dbf3512bef4f879d5deb21a173d639188b8c9762380dcb1
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
05:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH5WPVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.39%
Down 51.61%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.8097 edge=-0.0201 sigma_short=0.001497 sigma_long=0.003598 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4839

Commitment hash
41e74cd02b6c83187630c7c49c144796b58acd66c34034499d42e349940dd2b6
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iER1oE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.99%
Down 52.01%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000442 sigma=0.002378 score=-0.8097 p_up=0.4799

Commitment hash
888ce88c6c4d3fb8b8a62b294f5c4eb74d6c9884246daba255ea177454b1768c