Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T05:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 06:05 UTC
Open price
$1,717.29
Close price
$1,720.66

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1717.290000 and closed at 1720.660000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 15 · 05:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 05:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:00 ↑ 05:15 ↑ 05:30 ↓ 05:45 ↑ — now 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T05:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 06:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.500 0.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EF8QXDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.02%
Down 49.98%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000003 sigma=0.002248 score=0.0059 p_up=0.5002

Commitment hash
a853467eecf3ba1edb5da554a457cd6a79e5403d5d9aee66fd8bdc49dba9eb77
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
05:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.500 0.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_g7xznkbOwq29c3ayVmELRlWQ
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.01%
Down 49.99%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0059 edge=0.0002 sigma_short=0.001501 sigma_long=0.003598 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5001

Commitment hash
0132314d13d761c33981dc0f0da007695f21c801424423837d373e03f0441363
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
05:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.536 -3.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETdKZw4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.22%
Down 51.78%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.2765 sigma=2.6595 z=0.6819 p_up=0.4822

Commitment hash
dbd3cd466fe76e1bf1cfc9e1ec0e1e7d93260725453ede24019a496465f95f7c