Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T06:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 06:20 UTC
Open price
$1,762.06
Close price
$1,765.93

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1762.060000 and closed at 1765.930000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 16 · 05:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 06:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 06:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:15 ↑ 05:30 ↓ 05:45 ↓ 06:00 ↑ — now 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 06:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T06:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 06:20:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
05:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.451 +4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4ASLmjwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.53%
Down 47.47%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1776.9240 sigma=11.3849 z=-1.2274 p_up=0.5253

Commitment hash
e7c2028e0374e48992308e7c0e44f4e73c364598f01b3e3eebdc7892fc3be556
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
05:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.544 -4.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNyse8pw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.87%
Down 52.13%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.4145 edge=-0.0267 sigma_short=0.001993 sigma_long=0.002658 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4787

Commitment hash
3f675a2487ae4232d3e1a35ad3939b2bdf67a761ca7a3593d916dd7b659ca757
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
05:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCpvkwkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.33%
Down 52.67%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000790 sigma=0.002433 score=-1.4145 p_up=0.4733

Commitment hash
5d415b9fe8a72a48aa2958c07b0bf37d73d5cc3d79624a80c65f18b95f18470f