Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T11:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 12:05 UTC
Open price
$1,674.19
Close price
$1,678.34

Binance ETHUSDT 1h candle opened at 1674.190000 and closed at 1678.340000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 10:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 11:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 12:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Series 08:00 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↑ — now 12:00 ↑ 13:00 ↓ 14:00 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 16:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 12:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T11:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 12:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
10:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.517 -1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_MLpmeG97DG45Sn7molrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.14%
Down 50.86%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3742 edge=-0.0107 sigma_short=0.002336 sigma_long=0.004866 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4914

Commitment hash
11239ace5a699e8f98d7a1d69a927c11e990c3b34a9e253f8e86a7ca054be3c1
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.522 -2.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH8g4VlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.93%
Down 51.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000374 sigma=0.004358 score=-0.3742 p_up=0.4893

Commitment hash
fbefc45bad49a5de0e050fbb51c9437819f7b84653ed17ffd6dbcdd3344659cd
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.542 -4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cAmkDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.94%
Down 52.06%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1668.8610 sigma=5.7357 z=0.8437 p_up=0.4794

Commitment hash
7f6d6c4d5891333389e87ad197fe096e0ff798b6c2bf895aee7a413f2cc34925