Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T19:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 19:35 UTC
Open price
$63,712.29
Close price
$63,726.11

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63712.290000 and closed at 63726.110000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.1
Opens
Jun 12 · 19:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 19:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↑ — now 19:30 ↓ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↑ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T19:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 19:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
19:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.464 +3.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9YMVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.84%
Down 48.16%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63838.3750 sigma=202.7050 z=-0.7122 p_up=0.5184

Commitment hash
8ce212c25b40cf38fde2bd6f2be8fddd650d70f169ee65483dfbae41d9309bf1
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
19:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZz7VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 19:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.81%
Down 49.19%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000202 sigma=0.003178 score=0.2765 p_up=0.5081

Commitment hash
4044d9c3e39b0c71eccb33e8c0b280009bb3ada0033383667e88c53ae67ee7b2
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
19:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXOLor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.65%
Down 49.35%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2765 edge=0.0081 sigma_short=0.001307 sigma_long=0.002602 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5065

Commitment hash
fb3cf0d0df62de0798eac295c4b1f85c16df4fb9b7f6a2ae9c4b17b23cf55fed