Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T08:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 08:35 UTC
Open price
$64,440.00
Close price
$64,485.84

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64440.000000 and closed at 64485.840000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 14 · 08:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 08:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 08:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ — now 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 08:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T08:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 08:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
08:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.504 -0.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFK3PDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.8%
Down 50.2%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.1919 edge=-0.0057 sigma_short=0.001506 sigma_long=0.001027 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4980

Commitment hash
0c3718f407fa5fd7aab7c8924ea44619257bcd5be964890c69eede921601a05e
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpriGOZoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.43%
Down 50.57%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000054 sigma=0.001235 score=-0.1919 p_up=0.4943

Commitment hash
2f8080259ef8b48a714f758c73364f181da687aba1ca597d7e18c87ab277e770
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.523 -2.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6s71moOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.85%
Down 51.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64391.8360 sigma=93.3628 z=0.4022 p_up=0.4885

Commitment hash
1da9a1a866df8f94d859c1004f01d0bbbc04118cc6e878a393f4e4a323b3505c