Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T09:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 09:20 UTC
Open price
$64,456.33
Close price
$64,428.44

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64456.330000 and closed at 64428.440000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 08:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 09:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 09:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓ — now 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↑ 10:00 ↓ 10:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 09:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T09:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 09:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.460 +4.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0t177DWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.95%
Down 52.05%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64385.5930 sigma=86.8518 z=0.8354 p_up=0.4795

Commitment hash
8a4d9fcc1101f7e43bdda31c904956ff44bb1c11effee7aad7586f7815a18564
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
08:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7ian8oE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.25%
Down 50.75%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000071 sigma=0.001212 score=-0.2558 p_up=0.4925

Commitment hash
c0d8852b898e7854139878fc2016b37cc880797389f7c20b7feef5ce87d23f35
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
08:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.495 +0.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH50rVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 08:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.74%
Down 50.26%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2558 edge=-0.0075 sigma_short=0.001355 sigma_long=0.000999 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4974

Commitment hash
1bdada455cc9e633188c81db19806e9e6c1cae8d8536a1a5391d4ae3342ec6b0