Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T17:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$63,965.58
Close price
$63,903.25

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63965.580000 and closed at 63903.250000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 14 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↓ — now 17:30 ↓ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↓ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 17:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTGnLVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.39%
Down 52.61%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000438 sigma=0.001436 score=-1.3280 p_up=0.4739

Commitment hash
08087ba7f78f3bd13892231d538cb5725433f21d1cdf6209d39c25b4db1ad6d5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
17:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.482 +1.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFPOxor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.09%
Down 50.91%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.3280 edge=-0.0261 sigma_short=0.001692 sigma_long=0.001351 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4909

Commitment hash
ec3b7d753e30e1700dd1d8e631fe8c11154581f2b01695ab7d85744da92d618f
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.556 -5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2WguLYAVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.72%
Down 47.28%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64195.3005 sigma=167.3012 z=-1.5103 p_up=0.5272

Commitment hash
b729d8a50185532b054e9c24f5d799ab10218da1ab088f71e14cc216dd7bce6a