Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T00:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 00:35 UTC
Open price
$66,391.97
Close price
$66,247.99

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66391.970000 and closed at 66247.990000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 16 · 00:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 00:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 23:30 ↑ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ — now 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↑ 01:30 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T00:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 00:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.454 +4.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xSGQNopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.64%
Down 52.36%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000415 sigma=0.001698 score=-1.0656 p_up=0.4764

Commitment hash
406f91e581a332043bc9b296ada88552fb908883d76ae03f1ba9c02fe97b18da
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
00:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.474 +2.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HpKyD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.7%
Down 51.3%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.0656 edge=-0.0236 sigma_short=0.001375 sigma_long=0.001811 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4870

Commitment hash
187ab5ebeea0b2498eecab2b8bc32d77b90d6ef07070df9e45d3f73cb82e3e71
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.534 -3.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTOxZw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.67%
Down 48.33%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66441.1840 sigma=178.6552 z=-0.6294 p_up=0.5167

Commitment hash
401b3dd90b255250c1cf63f6d5549157a8ec4992f0f1bd13fd0ba3bf7fc6c8bc