Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T05:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 05:35 UTC
Open price
$66,026.00
Close price
$66,076.01

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66026.000000 and closed at 66076.010000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 16 · 05:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 05:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 04:30 ↓ 04:45 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 05:15 ↑ — now 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↓ 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T05:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 05:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
05:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.451 +4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01girMyw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.49%
Down 47.51%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66103.5640 sigma=221.8184 z=-1.1878 p_up=0.5249

Commitment hash
490c6cdc0e827e4521bc9d314d14da1a425ea2a5f7010785b68a2880cbc2976b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
05:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.524 -2.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsYZ5VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.8%
Down 51.2%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.9223 edge=-0.0218 sigma_short=0.001695 sigma_long=0.001880 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4880

Commitment hash
119b55f547d1963ad66421aa4bc1a3cf2e9d0937d8eeb3b756ae3b5a8c9f9d03
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
05:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.545 -4.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFbm0w5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 05:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.82%
Down 52.18%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000439 sigma=0.002076 score=-0.9223 p_up=0.4782

Commitment hash
d03009c8e950e0dca383f5e88460b7789e37e71b28c703374a0c7d70dfb8c8e3