Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T02:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 02:35 UTC
Open price
$65,905.21
Close price
$66,106.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65905.210000 and closed at 66106.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 17 · 02:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 02:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↑ — now 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T02:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 02:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
02:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.497 +0.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCqK5wW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.14%
Down 49.86%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000018 sigma=0.001614 score=0.0474 p_up=0.5014

Commitment hash
c6e93ad72c0a7d52c7a50308dbe34e619519c648e5e430fc5157e352499aa7e5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
02:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.498 +0.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtYb5oXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.08%
Down 49.92%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0474 edge=0.0014 sigma_short=0.001895 sigma_long=0.001567 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5008

Commitment hash
129f7b6b7247aa370a2cfe57a143a98157c1019c6addfd6eaeef2d0d7470627d
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
02:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLix0Pwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.06%
Down 52.94%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65763.4005 sigma=77.4539 z=2.2801 p_up=0.4706

Commitment hash
8838ec8212acf6f71fba5ea116d7443b8d4e28855e34f19cce22a0f576a5ee92