Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T01:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 01:50 UTC
Open price
$65,585.74
Close price
$65,759.76

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65585.740000 and closed at 65759.760000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 17 · 01:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 01:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ — now 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↑ 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T01:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 01:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
01:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.486 +1.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CvMBDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.71%
Down 49.29%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000067 sigma=0.001217 score=0.2404 p_up=0.5071

Commitment hash
bbad6fec76220b304c8a5152f552d8ab2d6e8bf60a47988399d22b3985ddca1b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
01:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.492 +0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc72WVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.39%
Down 49.61%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2404 edge=0.0071 sigma_short=0.001103 sigma_long=0.001354 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5039

Commitment hash
5a855eeb9dba8b3729429b3ce38cd46be05da95ca8d9dc1c2df0b7a8ef824cf2
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
01:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhmYPojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.42%
Down 51.58%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65770.0945 sigma=60.3282 z=0.5834 p_up=0.4842

Commitment hash
b1346c10f61fd36d5846c1008d7f5a96d4c7ebe8f64719c1eba717fdb8104b54