Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T01:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 01:20 UTC
Open price
$65,700.00
Close price
$65,805.29

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65700.000000 and closed at 65805.290000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 17 · 00:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 01:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ — now 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 01:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.473 +2.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HPmmwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.37%
Down 48.63%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000125 sigma=0.001108 score=0.4916 p_up=0.5137

Commitment hash
579a0a8f940d4adf10e16efda0785a239b1b498583565211a1a62bdd4666eb69
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
00:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.478 +2.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS4GJwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.09%
Down 48.91%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.4916 edge=0.0137 sigma_short=0.000863 sigma_long=0.001382 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5109

Commitment hash
e28f770df27562d284d241d6ca423f4bb4845fb19cf6914cffeb3245327d1639
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.548 -4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCJ58wkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.64%
Down 52.36%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65766.6235 sigma=61.3903 z=1.0651 p_up=0.4764

Commitment hash
203a5f462922ed7cf258cf24ac26512349800de977be0d2bf10b39a057393bbd