Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T00:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$65,832.01
Close price
$65,700.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65832.010000 and closed at 65700.000000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 17 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 00:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ — now 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T00:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 01:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
00:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.513 -1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7id3poE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.64%
Down 49.36%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2754 edge=0.0081 sigma_short=0.000759 sigma_long=0.001398 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5064

Commitment hash
c511e2ba498bcf6461b621eaa837345e577f56bc0a77056663758210cfa472d1
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.516 -1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTdqnwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.81%
Down 49.19%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000067 sigma=0.001056 score=0.2754 p_up=0.5081

Commitment hash
b60b9378df0a784852d1da2019ad34a3555d2ef7c5541cd9cfa5a8b78e31e937
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCP0eoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.34%
Down 48.66%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65757.1560 sigma=65.0670 z=-0.4796 p_up=0.5134

Commitment hash
43b531b75ab49090214c500fc652a99ade286784a017ace6ef503be235944870