Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-09T04:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 9 · 05:05 UTC
Open price
$62,875.18
Close price
$63,242.36

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 62875.180000 and closed at 63242.360000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 9 · 03:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 9 · 04:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 9 · 05:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 01:00 ↑ 02:00 ↑ 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↑ — now 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 08:00 ↓ 09:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-09 05:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-09T04:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 9 · 05:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
03:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtyYJoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 03:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.68%
Down 47.32%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63389.7300 sigma=361.3406 z=-1.4439 p_up=0.5268

Commitment hash
543e95012b6397243c70d36f89ddebaf57a1cc280aba056fd4dd1fbc4ffcac6d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 9
03:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.517 -1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_40Q536YODN09HjPbwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 03:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.15%
Down 50.85%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3690 edge=-0.0106 sigma_short=0.003815 sigma_long=0.005551 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4915

Commitment hash
34698b467f809e794762912140de65fcb9b226e2cef1f2457ae9ada143542ec4
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
03:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.521 -2.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiq2Rwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 03:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.94%
Down 51.06%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000347 sigma=0.004101 score=-0.3690 p_up=0.4894

Commitment hash
49d87e5629a5e9f399a2dafdc5c583a98db332b05fdccaa85767d668375268fc