Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-09T05:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 9 · 06:05 UTC
Open price
$63,242.36
Close price
$63,338.68

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 63242.360000 and closed at 63338.680000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 9 · 04:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 9 · 05:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 9 · 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 02:00 ↑ 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↑ 05:00 ↑ — now 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 08:00 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-09 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-09T05:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 9 · 06:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
04:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GC1qQwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 04:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.59%
Down 47.41%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63369.2890 sigma=377.9269 z=-1.3074 p_up=0.5259

Commitment hash
06e7762bbfb8adae05277741233e268cce79977e62a313e5f056002ab394b5e8
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 9
04:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiqxRwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 04:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.46%
Down 50.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2303 edge=-0.0068 sigma_short=0.003809 sigma_long=0.005517 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4946

Commitment hash
7aa0c3251cf2011c5c174bfb90b249182a5cb305cb1a11c3dae9d8146e6a6489
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
04:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.514 -1.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXugRBVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 04:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.32%
Down 50.68%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000215 sigma=0.004073 score=-0.2303 p_up=0.4932

Commitment hash
4328535048c725023280e918e55db9e04026d42ee1868eba197ab0e6d68dac4f