Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-10T06:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 06:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 10 · 07:05 UTC
Open price
$61,361.17
Close price
$61,472.89

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 61361.170000 and closed at 61472.890000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 10 · 05:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 10 · 06:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 10 · 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↑ — now 07:00 ↑ 08:00 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-10 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-10T06:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 10 · 07:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
05:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.451 +4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iWpQDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.51%
Down 47.49%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=61896.5760 sigma=495.1427 z=-1.2130 p_up=0.5251

Commitment hash
d10303de29c48383fa9e8d1f7efaf49ecad5142a8699a74f1cd151e9b2c9a612
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 10
05:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHqPWDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.66%
Down 51.34%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.1346 edge=-0.0244 sigma_short=0.004002 sigma_long=0.004062 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4866

Commitment hash
9df0f4727d63d6fd7456c0e681f961798b058e4e64ef00c109f445cc66f62a55
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
05:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9Pcb45Vb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 05:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 06:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.56%
Down 52.44%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.001205 sigma=0.004629 score=-1.1346 p_up=0.4756

Commitment hash
8b39baa826531ab73db48c917cba1bc6ef1342b1568afac3d2794cd180850375