Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-11T07:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 07:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 11 · 08:05 UTC
Open price
$62,772.01
Close price
$62,719.39

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 62772.010000 and closed at 62719.390000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 11 · 06:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 11 · 07:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 11 · 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 04:00 ↑ 05:00 ↓ 06:00 ↑ 07:00 ↓ — now 08:00 ↑ 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↓ 12:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-11 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-11T07:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 11 · 08:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
06:35:12
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHd2gDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 06:35:12 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.37%
Down 52.63%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=61961.3015 sigma=477.1980 z=1.3594 p_up=0.4737

Commitment hash
793b32182a6d76f1fc46ab672398259e11460830e37cbebab214ba0378fcdbd5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 11
06:35:12
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.524 -2.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh4nLV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 06:35:12 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.17%
Down 48.83%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8844 edge=0.0213 sigma_short=0.004421 sigma_long=0.004950 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5117

Commitment hash
661c76e66656f549d7a8116b4e25469dbf4e919c0b4df4f12dab3eac77a56e00
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
06:35:12
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.543 -4.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4i29jDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 06:35:12 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.13%
Down 47.87%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001039 sigma=0.005121 score=0.8844 p_up=0.5213

Commitment hash
56696245febf15500e6908a17a1a01349e0a7f895d9d715f12585710f58f55d3