Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-11T10:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 10:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 11 · 11:05 UTC
Open price
$62,927.49
Close price
$63,148.00

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 62927.490000 and closed at 63148.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 11 · 09:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 11 · 10:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 11 · 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 07:00 ↓ 08:00 ↑ 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ — now 11:00 ↓ 12:00 ↓ 13:00 ↑ 14:00 ↓ 15:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-11 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-11T10:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 11 · 11:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
09:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.464 +3.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXu4LaVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 09:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.83%
Down 48.17%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000683 sigma=0.004201 score=0.7086 p_up=0.5183

Commitment hash
0ff524ba3055b3a5e821033e1d68a790fa39e11de918e0863816b6e93ff15235
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 11
09:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiJ7kwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 09:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.46%
Down 48.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7086 edge=0.0183 sigma_short=0.003257 sigma_long=0.004429 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5146

Commitment hash
3cd0b5f6c5a89ffd013933e8b406c367eaab07434ef4cf1431ee79de8cd1cef1
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
09:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCgzkwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 09:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.22%
Down 52.78%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=62184.5635 sigma=470.8628 z=1.6426 p_up=0.4722

Commitment hash
fed7dd5db33f0bbe65444548a0b0164a85a28a75b19e48b023bee6ea975a5acf