Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-11T11:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 11:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 11 · 12:05 UTC
Open price
$63,148.00
Close price
$63,108.00

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 63148.000000 and closed at 63108.000000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 11 · 10:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 11 · 11:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 11 · 12:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 08:00 ↑ 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↓ — now 12:00 ↓ 13:00 ↑ 14:00 ↓ 15:00 ↑ 16:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-11 12:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-11T11:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 11 · 12:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
10:35:11
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh4EzV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 10:35:11 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.33%
Down 52.67%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=62223.6170 sigma=497.7056 z=1.4142 p_up=0.4733

Commitment hash
2cc8f327bc391e4146ce7a39632f357f7f696a77061f065795816a86e0fdb661
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 11
10:35:11
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.519 -1.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_PG178AgpDReXu49aVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 10:35:11 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.93%
Down 49.07%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.6374 edge=0.0169 sigma_short=0.003382 sigma_long=0.004379 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5093

Commitment hash
f028b8637cd9613e0bbc094d11375eb2888df45c11fd360e279cc1fe89e647ff
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 11
10:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.534 -3.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHdnKDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 11, 2026 · 10:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-11 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.69%
Down 48.31%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000615 sigma=0.004208 score=0.6374 p_up=0.5169

Commitment hash
19202b112c3cfaef8c7a61ebba631443a58b76ce05180ba1e75926fc02738a8c