Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T15:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Open price
$64,220.96
Close price
$64,296.15

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 64220.960000 and closed at 64296.150000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 14:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 12:00 ↑ 13:00 ↓ 14:00 ↑ 15:00 ↑ — now 16:00 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 19:00 ↑ 20:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 16:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
14:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.460 +4.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcmjqVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 14:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.06%
Down 47.94%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000337 sigma=0.001749 score=0.8390 p_up=0.5206

Commitment hash
fce72d43f2bf645169863891bbb291287028f54cc30ab3c2a0c5cc473515378a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
14:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHm8RDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 14:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.64%
Down 48.36%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8390 edge=0.0206 sigma_short=0.001285 sigma_long=0.003499 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5164

Commitment hash
2e8edac9aedfd12b93c3e55b6f953224286c2fa2dd1f31c110071bbb7791cb48
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
14:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4ie6gDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 14:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.11%
Down 52.89%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63708.9595 sigma=195.9214 z=2.0096 p_up=0.4711

Commitment hash
0630b78bc203ff1067299febc2e3dfbbc3a8e17699ef30ccfd9e6bb81d081d95