Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T19:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 20:05 UTC
Open price
$64,161.46
Close price
$64,296.59

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 64161.460000 and closed at 64296.590000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 13 · 18:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 19:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 20:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 16:00 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 19:00 ↑ — now 20:00 ↓ 21:00 ↑ 22:00 ↓ 23:00 ↑ 00:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 20:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 20:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.459 +4.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTRgqw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.1%
Down 47.9%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000387 sigma=0.001952 score=0.8653 p_up=0.5210

Commitment hash
24d3c70a649ae96df535897339a07be6218206265874380f6859cbd3d0f5ffbf
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
18:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.467 +3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHk82oy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.68%
Down 48.32%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8653 edge=0.0210 sigma_short=0.001923 sigma_long=0.003523 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5168

Commitment hash
fcf1aaf3da2aa068c6a627e8a1ea2b61cdf92bcb9acb72a855c9d1ed3ddb03b3
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HkN8D9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.36%
Down 51.64%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63824.6200 sigma=238.7599 z=0.6139 p_up=0.4836

Commitment hash
153bdd22fe77244e236f9b81a939940ea27ad4c128c3b232a2cefd043b52ee2e