Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-14T07:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 08:05 UTC
Open price
$64,286.10
Close price
$64,429.39

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 64286.100000 and closed at 64429.390000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 06:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 07:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↓ 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↑ — now 08:00 ↑ 09:00 ↑ 10:00 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 12:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-14T07:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 08:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAddVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.2%
Down 47.8%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000406 sigma=0.001888 score=0.9383 p_up=0.5220

Commitment hash
851408d159261f092f81d2374235d8d2597096772cf8a2e16f7923aed3a24630
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
06:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.465 +3.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaRKwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.76%
Down 48.24%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.9383 edge=0.0220 sigma_short=0.001551 sigma_long=0.002951 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5176

Commitment hash
be3f6a7e4d85f866eacced5c32b6f600d9a3e5abb0b3f00ca6deb6878eaccff5
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.517 -1.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyrdwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.15%
Down 50.85%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64276.4920 sigma=211.8219 z=0.2904 p_up=0.4915

Commitment hash
87346862205cec163222c77735bb474c56b87f214d4f215aacff0bf1e1f92d2f