Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-14T08:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 09:05 UTC
Open price
$64,429.39
Close price
$64,456.33

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 64429.390000 and closed at 64456.330000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 07:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 08:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 05:00 ↓ 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↑ 08:00 ↑ — now 09:00 ↑ 10:00 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 12:00 ↓ 13:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-14T08:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 09:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNEawg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000258 sigma=0.001867 score=0.6032 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
ed6502d15d79c6c8f70994e438abeddf48221b604eb464c7eca04474b4d29c14
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
07:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.474 +2.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iak8oE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.29%
Down 48.71%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.6032 edge=0.0162 sigma_short=0.001571 sigma_long=0.002287 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5129

Commitment hash
ac044ae9ace2b8bb389c7c9a8c20543feb5db8e558da002cf959f9df4359cb67
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
07:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.496 +0.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCXkQoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 07:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.2%
Down 49.8%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64298.6465 sigma=187.0481 z=-0.0671 p_up=0.5020

Commitment hash
c1a260849c57753a6d47db6d6ee49d8fa70f64209bd353ba08adc2ad51cee8e4