Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T06:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 06:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 07:05 UTC
Open price
$1,654.81
Close price
$1,657.34

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1654.810000 and closed at 1657.340000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 12 · 06:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 06:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:00 ↓ 06:15 ↓ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ — now 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↑ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T06:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 07:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
06:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YF1m2or79GXqN
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 06:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.88%
Down 47.12%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1670.8470 sigma=5.3938 z=-1.9517 p_up=0.5288

Commitment hash
607c45cf9509b4c435e4e99d194a9ee669cb85ff4577b95171d08c067c734305
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
06:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.509 -0.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xC54pw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 06:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.57%
Down 50.43%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2638 edge=-0.0077 sigma_short=0.002389 sigma_long=0.002304 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4957

Commitment hash
4b086d53899b39251a55c975268e615675b1d1e9448c077f87abc06f9b925be1
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
06:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.516 -1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2WguB50VzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 06:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.23%
Down 50.77%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000142 sigma=0.002338 score=-0.2638 p_up=0.4923

Commitment hash
9786423e54e405a909f08f3b4fab581d2dfdc911fbbaeda23502bb564c6223bb