Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T08:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 08:20 UTC
Open price
$1,662.12
Close price
$1,667.59

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1662.120000 and closed at 1667.590000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 12 · 07:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 08:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↑ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ — now 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↑ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T08:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 08:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
07:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01giPWbw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.17%
Down 47.83%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.3925 sigma=7.4151 z=-0.9133 p_up=0.5217

Commitment hash
23eee61d2391cac9cb19cc49734ef80961ae32189a6bd75f8c2bf23719ced733
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
07:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.538 -3.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsWA8VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.16%
Down 51.84%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.0156 edge=-0.0230 sigma_short=0.001499 sigma_long=0.002137 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4816

Commitment hash
d29c28c49e8299359f12595ce974699db268d7e19b179815391555f179802254
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
07:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.547 -4.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFy9Zw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.7%
Down 52.3%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000472 sigma=0.002027 score=-1.0156 p_up=0.4770

Commitment hash
19d94c24ea8ef2125cfb532f74e9025777f3e85b93e5a5392b11b94fd62e36c1