Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T08:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 09:05 UTC
Open price
$1,671.04
Close price
$1,673.53

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1671.040000 and closed at 1673.530000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 12 · 08:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 08:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↑ — now 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T08:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 09:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
08:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.490 +1.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6sv0JoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.52%
Down 49.48%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000097 sigma=0.002410 score=0.1764 p_up=0.5052

Commitment hash
202a4c9530bafaacebb9c536535fe3da9d1aa4a04f1a19cab41b8739f0bef3d3
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
08:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.494 +0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETgNyw4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.29%
Down 49.71%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1764 edge=0.0052 sigma_short=0.002134 sigma_long=0.002259 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5029

Commitment hash
d38767ba20c4b20f0466b84297be235b76e88ffd5754c490a3fab73c46e120dd
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
08:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.551 -5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFW4yDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.53%
Down 52.47%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1666.5640 sigma=7.2182 z=1.1646 p_up=0.4753

Commitment hash
32520def70fd156b4e2f58100d49cb0ff5ff27c66cc4f0cef7fd184adfea3ced