Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T09:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 09:35 UTC
Open price
$1,675.40
Close price
$1,680.03

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1675.400000 and closed at 1680.030000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 12 · 09:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 09:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↑ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ — now 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↓ 10:15 ↓ 10:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T09:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 09:35:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
09:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.490 +1.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsWn8VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.51%
Down 49.49%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000097 sigma=0.002456 score=0.1715 p_up=0.5051

Commitment hash
bb0508ae820f17d95fb3e3eaa54ad1abed6a889e9d0d443211a39b259b1a8ebc
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
09:05:06
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.494 +0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCJRWoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:05:06 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.28%
Down 49.72%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1715 edge=0.0051 sigma_short=0.002195 sigma_long=0.002297 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5028

Commitment hash
586245c794bccbe55da1940e010a72c8b9f852f9b837c39a921a19f35740b508
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
09:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.546 -4.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgT2kkwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.75%
Down 52.25%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1666.5365 sigma=7.2032 z=0.9709 p_up=0.4775

Commitment hash
2200a8bc96ae126fab2531a1cd47680a286ebf952f68e8758c1e4bba329ecd38