Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T09:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 09:50 UTC
Open price
$1,680.03
Close price
$1,682.44

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1680.030000 and closed at 1682.440000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 12 · 09:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 09:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:45 ↑ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↑ — now 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↓ 10:15 ↓ 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T09:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 09:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
09:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.506 -0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cGX0DZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.71%
Down 50.29%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.1200 edge=-0.0036 sigma_short=0.001714 sigma_long=0.002291 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4971

Commitment hash
0e92b4d21a36621cfe834919b003aa4a4bbc2e353324b16e34b7589d4d689837
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
09:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.507 -0.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tjyvDWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.64%
Down 50.36%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000063 sigma=0.002280 score=-0.1200 p_up=0.4964

Commitment hash
5b10aac6a266c4d9521c5d421c464e7f702e1e7465218676265164b70f417978
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
09:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngHblkVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 09:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.54%
Down 52.46%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1666.7830 sigma=7.4145 z=1.1608 p_up=0.4754

Commitment hash
f451287963dfb38fa8bf4629d5c98f26e00d6857508a72ea81335dc93e917bb7