Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T08:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 08:35 UTC
Open price
$1,667.59
Close price
$1,674.97

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1667.590000 and closed at 1674.970000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 12 · 08:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 08:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 08:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:30 ↑ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ — now 08:30 ↓ 08:45 ↑ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 08:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T08:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 08:35:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
08:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.467 +3.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7ir8xoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.68%
Down 48.32%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1666.7190 sigma=7.2498 z=-0.6344 p_up=0.5168

Commitment hash
b62ff14d300d3f6bebabd53a50e4965f898d1492fca368618ec8ac1f19afa137
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
08:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tjkvDWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.41%
Down 51.59%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.7997 edge=-0.0199 sigma_short=0.001530 sigma_long=0.002129 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4841

Commitment hash
f155ad03078d451cd63b44719698e9b30a180735d93860fe0339f8fd13cf72e0
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
08:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCJ5WoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 08:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 08:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.01%
Down 51.99%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000375 sigma=0.002046 score=-0.7997 p_up=0.4801

Commitment hash
450e77e6d11775c1ced370933204819947ba583c9bca79b19649c7de27f743de