Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T12:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 12:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 12:35 UTC
Open price
$1,670.86
Close price
$1,666.87

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1670.860000 and closed at 1666.870000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.3
Opens
Jun 12 · 12:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 12:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 12:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 11:30 ↓ 11:45 ↓ 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↓ — now 12:30 ↓ 12:45 ↑ 13:00 ↑ 13:15 ↓ 13:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 12:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T12:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 12:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
12:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.488 +1.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyPbwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 12:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 12:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.38%
Down 50.62%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1672.3985 sigma=7.1713 z=0.2080 p_up=0.4938

Commitment hash
564dcc2e7aeafa8c88412accc54cfec067071edfc29eb49adb966dfd79bb934a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
12:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaELwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 12:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 12:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.02%
Down 47.98%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.2259 edge=0.0252 sigma_short=0.001464 sigma_long=0.002168 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5202

Commitment hash
8aba0b4af375b9c0fda3e35f0e4739e7d8161282178ffca54a4c124b1c9ef005
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
12:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.552 -5.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAm0VeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 12:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 12:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.52%
Down 47.48%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000530 sigma=0.001883 score=1.2259 p_up=0.5252

Commitment hash
dbdc7740f7ce8cb2ff8b3e42411b26db0f0fe1b30653f68d2fc1c894d1309af1