Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T04:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 04:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 05:05 UTC
Open price
$1,667.63
Close price
$1,664.51

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1667.630000 and closed at 1664.510000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 04:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 04:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 05:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 04:00 ↓ 04:15 ↑ 04:30 ↑ 04:45 ↓ — now 05:00 ↓ 05:15 ↓ 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 05:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T04:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 05:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
04:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.510 -1.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cA8JDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 04:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 04:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.48%
Down 49.52%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2989 edge=0.0087 sigma_short=0.000900 sigma_long=0.001186 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5048

Commitment hash
2c72dfbeb5522e74eb6cf9bcd60f30a63516bee7c4189d04b3a7f1a3d88a561a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
04:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.518 -1.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyGJwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 04:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 04:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.87%
Down 49.13%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000080 sigma=0.001162 score=0.2989 p_up=0.5087

Commitment hash
6f09b8a9ad9732ab07a26029345464a7053d9d91ddf43a7ba8de3fa284fa6742
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
04:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.539 -3.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaBpwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 04:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 04:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.92%
Down 48.08%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.6605 sigma=2.8262 z=-0.7574 p_up=0.5192

Commitment hash
9ebc80fdf82f38999fc207b79c372c8b0cca7c5f661385b48a634e3951d72a34